Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000765 0.000814 0.000864 0.000919 0.000979 0.001040 0.001110
2025-10-12 0.000686 0.000755 0.000828 0.000911 0.001005 0.001106 0.001224
2025-10-19 0.000631 0.000713 0.000802 0.000909 0.001032 0.001169 0.001335
2025-10-26 0.000590 0.000682 0.000786 0.000912 0.001062 0.001234 0.001449
2025-11-02 0.000549 0.000647 0.000760 0.000900 0.001071 0.001273 0.001531
2025-11-09 0.000509 0.000610 0.000729 0.000879 0.001066 0.001292 0.001588
2025-11-16 0.000480 0.000584 0.000709 0.000870 0.001074 0.001326 0.001663
2025-11-23 0.000460 0.000568 0.000699 0.000871 0.001094 0.001374 0.001756
2025-11-30 0.000440 0.000550 0.000686 0.000868 0.001107 0.001413 0.001839
2025-12-07 0.000422 0.000535 0.000676 0.000867 0.001121 0.001453 0.001924
2025-12-14 0.000403 0.000516 0.000659 0.000856 0.001123 0.001475 0.001985
2025-12-21 0.000385 0.000498 0.000644 0.000846 0.001124 0.001498 0.002046
2025-12-28 0.000362 0.000473 0.000618 0.000823 0.001108 0.001497 0.002079
2026-01-04 0.000346 0.000458 0.000605 0.000816 0.001114 0.001528 0.002158
2026-01-11 0.000333 0.000446 0.000596 0.000814 0.001127 0.001569 0.002252
2026-01-18 0.000323 0.000437 0.000591 0.000817 0.001147 0.001619 0.002364
2026-01-25 0.000309 0.000422 0.000577 0.000807 0.001146 0.001640 0.002431
2026-02-01 0.000294 0.000405 0.000558 0.000788 0.001133 0.001640 0.002466
2026-02-08 0.000282 0.000393 0.000546 0.000780 0.001134 0.001663 0.002537
2026-02-15 0.000275 0.000385 0.000541 0.000781 0.001149 0.001707 0.002644
2026-02-22 0.000266 0.000377 0.000534 0.000778 0.001158 0.001742 0.002736
2026-03-01 0.000259 0.000369 0.000528 0.000777 0.001169 0.001779 0.002834
2026-03-08 0.000249 0.000358 0.000516 0.000767 0.001167 0.001795 0.002897